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15 January -  22 January 2016

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From the CEO OF EMIS



This week we published a wide-ranging report on the M&A sector in emerging Europe. This is an annual report that is produced in association with CMS, a firm that acted as legal adviser in the most number of deals in the region in 2015.

Globally, 2015 saw record levels of activity in the M&A sector but that was not reflected in emerging Europe where a number of political and economic shocks resulted in an overall decline in the number and value of deals recorded. The biggest factor in this downward curve is the turbulence around Russia where the ongoing situation with Ukraine, the ensuing sanctions and the collapse in oil prices all acted as a brake on M&A activity.

There are reasons for optimism however. Private equity transactions grew across the region in 2015, driven largely by UK and US investors. 2015 was also a much improved year for the commercial real estate sector across Central and Eastern Europe. We believe that a strengthening dollar is likely to lead to greater US investment in emerging Europe in the coming year and that greater investment appetite from China will help to reverse the current trend. Overall we foresee a healthy outlook in M&A terms for Romania, Poland, Slovenia and Croatia in 2016 while activity in Turkey may also pick up.

The full Emerging Europe M&A Report 2015/16 is available to download free here.

Below are some excerpts from the report that focus on countries with mixed prospects and results.

Best wishes,
Guy Dunn
Chief Executive Officer


BULGARIA

A POSITIVE OUTLOOK FOLLOWING SIGNIFICANT TRANSACTIONS LATE IN 2015

Whereas the economy will see only modest growth, the relatively stable political environment will contribute to M&A activity in the market.

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RUSSIA

A TALE OF SANCTIONS, PLUMMETING VALUATIONS AND INVESTOR EXITS

With the sanctions extended in time and scope, Russian businesses will continue to suffer from restricted access to capital.

READ MORE  
ROMANIA

PROMISING PROSPECTS FOLLOWING CONTINUED STRONG RECOVERY

A notable increase in the volume of pre-transaction due diligence and negotiations in the second half of 2015 should translate into significant deals in 2016.

READ MORE  

EMIS Insights and reports

Here are two of our own exclusive industry insights from EMIS' team of highly experienced, locally-based analysts. EMIS Insights deliver the most relevant industry news, data and research from over 25 sectors in 21 countries.


CHINA HEALTHCARE: ALIVE AND KICKING

Companies are seizing opportunities arising from healthcare reforms, increasing investment and including more hospitals and healthcare institutions in their operations.




Read more


PERU BANKING SECTOR: SOLID AS A ROCK

The commercial banking sector in Peru is highly concentrated, with the four main players gathering more than 85% of the deposit base and the credit portfolio.




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Infographic of the week

With oil prices plummeting and debts mounting, Brazilian company Petrobras is facing a hard year. However, an official believes it can overcome. The business plan released this week shows a $5-$8 billion bond would enable the company to fulfill contracts until 2018. However, if a cash injection cannot be found the company will have to look at different and more costly solutions.


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Weekly News summary

Below are the most read articles in the past week on EMIS Perspectives, our daily blog of emerging market news and insights.

BANGLADESH ECONOMY GROWTH IS EXPECTED TO BE THE SECOND OUT OF 93 COUNTRIES IN 2016

According to Bloomberg, Bangladesh´s economy is expected to grow 6.6% in 2016, only behind India which is forecasted to reach 7.4%.



Read more…
SALARY INCREASE IN INDIA IS FORECASTED FOR 2016

Mercer´s All Industries Total Remuneration Survey, revealed an estimate of a salary raise of 10.5% in 2016 for industries and career levels.




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BANK OF TOKYO-MITSUBISHI UFJ INVESTS IN SECURITY BANK

In what can be considered a game changer, Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ (BTMU), Japan's biggest banking group, will be buying a 20% stake in Security Bank.




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ARGENTINE PROVINCE TO PRIORITISE "OIL ROUTE" HIGHWAY PROJECT

The Argentine province of Neuquén will widen two stretches of road that will ease congestion and serve the local oil and gas industry.

 


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DANISH VESTAS INAUGURATES FACTORY IN BRAZIL

According to information provided by SeeNews Renewables, Danish energy company Vestas announced the opening of its Brazilian factory on Monday.




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BOLIVIA AND GERMANY SIGNED AGREEMENTS FOR COOPERATION IN THREE AREAS

A delegation from Germany and Switzerland visited Bolivia and signed an agreement to cooperate in three areas - transport, railway projects and wind energy.  




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TURKISH SABANCI AND GERMAN E.ON IN TALKS WITH POTENTIAL CHINESE INVESTORS

Turkish conglomerate Sabanci Holding and its German partner, electricity company E.On, are in talks to sell a portion of their joint venture Enerjisa Enerji AS.




Read more…
DANISH TOYMAKER LEGO TO INVEST HUF 30BN TO EXPAND HUNGARIAN PLANT

The Hungarian government will provide a HUF 4.4bn grant for the project to double the plant’s size and open further 1,600 jobs.




Read more…
TURKEY RUNS 2015 BUDGET GAP OF $7.4 BN

Turkey’s budget deficit for the last year totalled 22.6 billion Turkish liras ($7.4 bn), equal to 1.2% of the gross domestic product (GDP) and lower by 2 billion liras than planned.





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HIGHER PRICES, CHINA DEMAND BOOST ZIMBABWE TOBACCO EXPORTS

Tobacco industry generated $855 million from tobacco exports last year which ranks is as the country’s main exporter.




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THE STATE WON’T LET SAUDI ARAMCO GO

The Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman hint of that Saudi Arabia is considering a sale of shares in Saudi Aramco.





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OMAN BUYS MILITARY EQUIPMENT FOR USD 51 MILLION

The US government has approved the sale of missiles as well as related equipment and support to the Oman. The deal worth USD 51 million.




Read more…

About EMIS

EMIS is designed specifically to provide organizations with the information they need to succeed in emerging markets through a unique combination of company, industry and country intelligence.

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